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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?

data as of 2026-06-25 20:15 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Down🗓️ settles Jun 26, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
51¢
DOWN
21¢
UP
51¢
UpU-DDown
Position$125+$29$97
Holders6−17
Trades14−2438
DOWN
21¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
−2.7 pp
53.2%
Avg ROI0.5%
−3.6 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
+$5
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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