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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

data as of 2026-05-18 09:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$19K$4.0K
Holders289−76365
Trades2.4K−2042.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.6%
+16.0 pp
42.6%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−10.7 pp
10.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−15.21×
×16.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.82
−15.30×
×16.12
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.4K
+$16.8K
$3.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.3%
+115.0 pp
-93.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−91.0 pp
91.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.8%
−1.4 pp
47.2%
Bot %62.4%
−3.1 pp
65.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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