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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

data as of 2025-12-21 04:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$13K$29K
Holders208−56264
Trades3.9K+6113.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.8%
−18.2 pp
57.1%
Avg ROI0.9%
−0.0 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×36.16
+35.53×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.31
+34.66×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.5K
−$5.1K
$6.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.14
0.74
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−152.4 pp
55.3%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.2%
+4.4 pp
60.8%
Bot %67.2%
+3.8 pp
63.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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