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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

data as of 2026-02-20 19:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$24K$34K
Holders426+82344
Trades4.2K+5363.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.7%
−19.7 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI1.4%
+3.4 pp
-2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.98
+15.32×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.66
+15.02×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.2K
−$7.7K
$17.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.04
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.5%
−147.7 pp
54.1%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.5%
−8.9 pp
79.3%
Bot %68.7%
−9.2 pp
77.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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