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Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

data as of 2026-07-22 19:06 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Nov 7, 2028Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$289$290
Holders5+41
Trades8+71
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.8%
+39.8 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI69.8%
+69.8 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.42
+0.42×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$290
$290
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-29.7%
−29.7 pp
0.0%
Underwater %42.2%
+42.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %10.0%
+10.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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