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Poilievre resigns as leader of Conservatives by Friday?

data as of 2025-05-01 15:13 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$802−$9.2K$10.0K
Holders31+328
Trades350+143207
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.1%
−15.8 pp
69.9%
Avg ROI22.8%
+19.2 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×42.36
+41.39×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×44.59
+43.62×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
−$1.6K
$1.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.49
−0.32
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.8%
−102.0 pp
4.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.0%
+11.6 pp
6.5%
Bot %18.0%
+11.6 pp
6.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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