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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-20 04:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.4K−$22K$30K
Holders352−83435
Trades2.5K+112.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.1%
−7.4 pp
54.5%
Avg ROI2.0%
+2.2 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.20
−82.68×
×82.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.23
−73.44×
×73.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.3K
−$22.9K
$29.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL307.5%
+406.1 pp
-98.7%
Underwater %0.4%
−99.2 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.4%
−1.4 pp
30.8%
Bot %48.6%
−1.3 pp
49.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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