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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

data as of 2026-07-18 18:35 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Up🗓️ settles Jul 24, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
51¢
DOWN
47¢
UP
51¢
UpU-DDown
Position$45−$26$71
Holders2−46
Trades2−79
DOWN
47¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.3%
+31.2 pp
24.1%
Avg ROI12.0%
+12.8 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.09×
×1.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.06
−0.02×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$45
+$53
−$8
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-5.4%
+1.4 pp
-6.8%
Underwater %48.2%
−51.8 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−16.4 pp
16.4%
Bot %0.0%
−16.4 pp
16.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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