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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2026-03-22 19:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.5K−$17K$23K
Holders75+4134
Trades563+86477
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.8%
−12.4 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI6.1%
−0.6 pp
6.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.00
+7.38×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.94
+7.25×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13
+$1
$12
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.41
0.50
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.5%
−104.4 pp
16.9%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.0%
+42.4 pp
31.6%
Bot %74.0%
+42.4 pp
31.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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