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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres

data as of 2026-07-11 23:48 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 19, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
47¢
NO
50¢
YES
47¢
YesY-NNo
Position$8−$45$53
Holders1−34
Trades1−45
NO
50¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
+4.2 pp
47.1%
Avg ROI1.6%
+1.9 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.20×
×0.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.14×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
+$8
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
−16.2 pp
16.2%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−33.5 pp
33.5%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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