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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-05 07:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$14K$6.9K
Holders169−29198
Trades2.7K+1552.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.8%
+16.0 pp
43.8%
Avg ROI1.0%
−15.2 pp
16.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−25.86×
×26.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−23.95×
×24.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.4K
+$6.4K
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.01
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL44.9%
+140.9 pp
-96.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.9 pp
98.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.2%
+19.4 pp
56.8%
Bot %87.0%
+21.7 pp
65.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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