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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 12:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$26K$38K
Holders407−96503
Trades4.2K+6513.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.3%
−5.6 pp
53.8%
Avg ROI-1.9%
−2.9 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.76
+19.99×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.66
+17.89×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.5K
−$25.5K
$37.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.9%
−125.3 pp
30.4%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.8%
−8.4 pp
44.2%
Bot %53.2%
−10.7 pp
63.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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