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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-05 08:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.7K−$12K$21K
Holders416+141275
Trades3.0K+6432.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.9%
−9.3 pp
55.1%
Avg ROI-1.2%
−4.2 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.30
+25.55×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.27
+22.51×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.6K
−$6.9K
$15.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−127.2 pp
31.5%
Underwater %92.1%
+92.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.4%
−18.4 pp
71.8%
Bot %53.0%
−19.1 pp
72.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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