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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-23 20:42 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.3K−$2.0K$4.4K
Holders93+1776
Trades659+192467
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
−6.7 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI1.1%
+0.5 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.90
+4.12×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.07
+4.31×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$329
−$1.0K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.04
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.6%
−114.5 pp
32.9%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.8%
−7.7 pp
36.5%
Bot %52.5%
−4.6 pp
57.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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