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XRP Up or Down - July 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 01:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$75−$74$149
Holders20+218
Trades77+2849
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.0%
−13.1 pp
54.1%
Avg ROI3.9%
+4.4 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.96
+1.36×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.88
+9.25×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$70
−$75
$146
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.9%
−150.0 pp
60.1%
Underwater %92.0%
+90.2 pp
1.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.9%
−24.3 pp
34.2%
Bot %9.9%
−35.6 pp
45.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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