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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

data as of 2026-02-23 08:39 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.4K−$28K$36K
Holders430+95335
Trades4.2K+7303.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.3%
−32.1 pp
60.3%
Avg ROI0.1%
+1.3 pp
-1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.78
+16.99×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.61
+13.80×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.2K
−$21.9K
$30.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.01
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.8%
−118.6 pp
24.8%
Underwater %91.5%
+91.2 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.8%
−8.7 pp
82.6%
Bot %74.2%
−8.4 pp
82.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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