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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-07 05:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.3K−$103K$108K
Holders322−108430
Trades3.4K+7452.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.4%
−35.9 pp
82.4%
Avg ROI3.8%
+3.6 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.50
+0.50×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.27
+1.31×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.3K
−$28.1K
$32.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.1%
−85.7 pp
7.5%
Underwater %73.9%
+43.4 pp
30.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %52.2%
−26.0 pp
78.1%
Bot %36.9%
−41.5 pp
78.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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