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Will Trump say "Somalia" or "Somalian" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?

data as of 2026-01-13 19:58 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$10K+$9.1K$1.3K
Holders32−1749
Trades251−12263
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.2%
−6.2 pp
72.4%
Avg ROI35.4%
+25.1 pp
10.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.88
−3.26×
×4.14
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.86
−5.00×
×5.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.9K
+$2.7K
$182
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.10
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL18.3%
+103.0 pp
-84.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−76.6 pp
76.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.7%
+4.1 pp
8.6%
Bot %12.7%
+4.1 pp
8.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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