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Will Robert Kasibante win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?

data as of 2025-11-27 05:18 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$21−$14K$14K
Holders34−1448
Trades311+76235
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.0%
−43.8 pp
74.9%
Avg ROI365.3%
+366.7 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.86
+0.86×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$2.0K
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.08
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-45.5%
−45.6 pp
0.1%
Underwater %16.4%
+16.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.6%
−1.0 pp
60.6%
Bot %89.1%
+28.5 pp
60.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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