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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on March 19?

data as of 2026-03-19 11:34 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$237−$2.0K$2.2K
Holders53+1934
Trades156+56100
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.8%
−52.4 pp
87.2%
Avg ROI17.8%
+14.5 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×70.00
+69.08×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×75.58
+74.65×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$122
−$1.9K
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.03
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.9%
−107.2 pp
8.3%
Underwater %96.2%
+92.0 pp
4.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.2%
+36.4 pp
8.8%
Bot %49.0%
+40.2 pp
8.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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