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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

data as of 2026-03-04 15:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$51K+$38K$13K
Holders387−54441
Trades3.9K−7814.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.7%
+22.5 pp
33.2%
Avg ROI0.4%
−2.4 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−15.65×
×16.41
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−13.26×
×14.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$33.6K
+$21.0K
$12.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL32.6%
+126.9 pp
-94.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.0 pp
96.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.9%
+1.2 pp
81.7%
Bot %81.5%
+1.3 pp
80.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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