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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 03:35 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$9.9K$22K
Holders469+118351
Trades4.0K+1.2K2.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
−0.4 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI3.3%
−0.5 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×29.36
+28.67×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.19
+25.49×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.5K
−$9.6K
$17.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.05
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−139.9 pp
43.4%
Underwater %96.8%
+96.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.1%
−5.0 pp
40.1%
Bot %49.4%
+1.2 pp
48.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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