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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

data as of 2026-03-16 21:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K+$17K$13K
Holders439−22461
Trades4.5K−2754.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.7%
+10.0 pp
44.7%
Avg ROI-0.8%
+2.5 pp
-3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−15.29×
×15.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−14.97×
×15.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23.3K
+$10.6K
$12.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL43.7%
+136.8 pp
-93.2%
Underwater %3.0%
−93.7 pp
96.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.6%
+6.7 pp
66.9%
Bot %73.2%
+7.8 pp
65.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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