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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

data as of 2026-07-25 08:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.0K−$9.7K$17K
Holders413+32381
Trades2.5K+5382.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.1%
−12.6 pp
54.7%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−0.5 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×117.25
+116.55×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×192.17
+191.39×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.7K
−$9.2K
$15.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.5%
−136.6 pp
37.1%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.9%
−8.6 pp
39.5%
Bot %49.0%
−14.5 pp
63.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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