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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

data as of 2026-04-22 02:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$134K+$127K$6.9K
Holders359−17376
Trades3.2K−8494.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.2%
+16.0 pp
44.2%
Avg ROI1.1%
+2.8 pp
-1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.66×
×0.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.98
+0.08×
×0.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$82.2K
+$75.8K
$6.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.3%
+49.7 pp
-45.4%
Underwater %45.8%
+21.9 pp
23.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.9%
−11.1 pp
81.0%
Bot %51.1%
+29.0 pp
22.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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