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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

data as of 2026-03-18 14:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K−$49K$79K
Holders562−39601
Trades6.2K−3536.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.1%
−18.5 pp
64.5%
Avg ROI1.1%
+1.2 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.46
+37.85×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×34.07
+33.45×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$28.6K
−$19.2K
$47.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.06
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−148.4 pp
51.3%
Underwater %95.2%
+92.3 pp
2.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.5%
+4.3 pp
73.2%
Bot %75.6%
+3.5 pp
72.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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