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Another India x Pakistan ceasefire announced by Friday?

data as of 2025-05-12 13:32 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$13K+$8.8K$4.6K
Holders49−352
Trades422+29393
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.9%
−4.2 pp
57.2%
Avg ROI2.4%
−0.9 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−1.00×
×1.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.50
−0.97×
×1.47
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$537
−$828
$290
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL96.1%
+128.3 pp
-32.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.1 pp
97.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.4%
+6.5 pp
6.8%
Bot %5.8%
−1.1 pp
6.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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