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Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

data as of 2026-07-10 18:50 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 13, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$22−$202$224
Holders7+25
Trades14+86
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.4%
+46.4 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI77.5%
+77.5 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$17
$17
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
−0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.3%
−81.7 pp
100.0%
Bot %18.3%
−81.7 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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