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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 14?

data as of 2026-05-13 06:07 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$50−$2.2K$2.2K
Holders43−1962
Trades272+7265
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.7%
−50.2 pp
78.9%
Avg ROI6.3%
+7.0 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.40
+1.41×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.93
+1.95×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$62
$63
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-65.9%
−67.8 pp
1.9%
Underwater %87.3%
+87.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.0%
+2.7 pp
25.2%
Bot %28.0%
+15.4 pp
12.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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