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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-19 03:06 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$936−$1.8K$2.8K
Holders62+260
Trades366+4362
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.3%
−3.5 pp
53.7%
Avg ROI-0.5%
−2.7 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.72
+4.91×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.94
+5.15×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$349
−$1.8K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-83.7%
−109.2 pp
25.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.3%
+1.0 pp
45.3%
Bot %47.4%
−15.0 pp
62.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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