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Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or below on January 15?

data as of 2026-01-15 13:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.3K−$27K$29K
Holders75+3243
Trades202−31233
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.5%
−51.5 pp
91.0%
Avg ROI5.3%
+2.9 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.99
+0.99×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.07
+5.12×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$156
−$12.0K
$12.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
−0.01
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.1%
−92.4 pp
6.3%
Underwater %99.4%
+58.1 pp
41.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.4%
−22.0 pp
23.4%
Bot %0.2%
−22.9 pp
23.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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