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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12AM ET

data as of 2026-07-07 04:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.2K−$1.0K$5.3K
Holders72+1458
Trades820+18802
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.2%
−2.3 pp
54.5%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.8 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.70
+14.14×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.95
+13.37×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$170
−$1.6K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.01
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.9%
−164.9 pp
71.9%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.7%
+0.6 pp
55.2%
Bot %66.9%
−2.8 pp
69.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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