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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on December 23?

data as of 2025-12-24 02:41 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$590−$14K$15K
Holders40−848
Trades227+40187
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.5%
−36.9 pp
75.4%
Avg ROI19.2%
+20.0 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.99
+9.04×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.15
+16.19×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14
−$4.2K
$4.2K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.1%
−98.9 pp
3.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.2%
−1.6 pp
1.8%
Bot %8.6%
−4.3 pp
12.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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