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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-04 07:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$29K+$25K$4.0K
Holders238+45193
Trades1.9K+1941.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate72.1%
+24.1 pp
48.0%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−14.3 pp
13.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−101.71×
×102.46
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−117.55×
×118.35
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.3K
+$10.5K
$773
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.07
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL24.8%
+124.1 pp
-99.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−88.7 pp
88.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.4%
+0.3 pp
61.1%
Bot %63.2%
−3.0 pp
66.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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