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Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 21?

data as of 2026-01-21 12:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$183−$1.3K$1.5K
Holders41+140
Trades193+46147
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.5%
−36.1 pp
69.6%
Avg ROI16.6%
+15.8 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.18
+0.22×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.47
+0.53×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15
−$93
$108
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-32.0%
−38.0 pp
6.0%
Underwater %97.4%
+96.7 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.9%
−31.0 pp
33.9%
Bot %2.9%
−29.6 pp
32.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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