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Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

data as of 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$426−$1.9K$2.4K
Holders38+731
Trades298+78220
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.1%
−11.9 pp
55.0%
Avg ROI3.4%
+1.6 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−0.64×
×1.29
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−0.55×
×1.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$70
−$22
$92
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.06
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.6%
+63.2 pp
-15.6%
Underwater %1.1%
−84.5 pp
85.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.2%
+2.5 pp
27.7%
Bot %33.7%
+6.0 pp
27.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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