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Will MrBeast say "Trap" during his next gaming YouTube video?

data as of 2026-07-16 12:51 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 18, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
31¢
NO
81¢
YES
31¢
YesY-NNo
Position$14+$5$9
Holders202
Trades5+32
NO
81¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.6%
−22.7 pp
59.2%
Avg ROI-0.1%
−3.4 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$4
$4
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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