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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

data as of 2026-05-02 03:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.9K−$12K$20K
Holders306+88218
Trades2.2K−2242.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
−26.7 pp
77.4%
Avg ROI17.7%
+14.6 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×60.04
+59.51×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×51.82
+51.06×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.0K
−$11.7K
$17.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.11
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−149.8 pp
51.8%
Underwater %91.4%
+90.1 pp
1.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.2%
+9.1 pp
46.1%
Bot %59.0%
+19.2 pp
39.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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