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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

data as of 2025-11-15 10:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K+$10K$19K
Holders93+588
Trades565+79486
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.8%
−4.6 pp
62.3%
Avg ROI-21.4%
−37.5 pp
16.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.67
+16.16×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.04
+15.47×
×0.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$864
−$913
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
+0.11
0.73
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.4%
−166.0 pp
72.6%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.8%
+5.1 pp
46.7%
Bot %11.6%
−23.2 pp
34.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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