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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-19 17:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.4K−$4.6K$8.0K
Holders107−19126
Trades1.1K−931.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.8%
−2.2 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI0.5%
−0.7 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.09
+9.43×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.68
+10.03×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$592
−$3.4K
$4.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.73
−0.22
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.0%
−145.0 pp
53.9%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.4%
+1.3 pp
42.1%
Bot %58.9%
+2.6 pp
56.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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