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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 08:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.3K−$1.3K$9.5K
Holders212−23235
Trades1.8K−4412.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.5%
−0.3 pp
52.7%
Avg ROI4.9%
−2.2 pp
7.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.18
+1.85×
×0.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.33
+2.00×
×0.32
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.5K
+$2.4K
$5.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.05
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-55.7%
−237.8 pp
182.1%
Underwater %98.2%
+97.9 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.0%
−4.7 pp
74.7%
Bot %71.1%
−5.6 pp
76.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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