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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-27 00:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$6.4K$7.8K
Holders268−32300
Trades2.0K−3102.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
+6.6 pp
46.2%
Avg ROI1.2%
−1.3 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−29.75×
×30.35
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−28.01×
×28.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.1K
+$5.6K
$7.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.07
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL55.8%
+152.3 pp
-96.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.2 pp
96.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.2%
+3.5 pp
39.7%
Bot %75.1%
+5.0 pp
70.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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