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XRP Up or Down - July 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 01:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$295+$59$235
Holders29+1118
Trades163+54109
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−6.8 pp
56.2%
Avg ROI1.6%
−0.6 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×45.76
+45.29×
×0.47
Top-20 avg cost vs price×46.94
+46.52×
×0.42
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$283
+$62
$220
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.04
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.8%
−236.0 pp
138.1%
Underwater %95.3%
+95.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.0%
+7.4 pp
60.6%
Bot %59.2%
−1.4 pp
60.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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