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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

data as of 2025-10-03 12:25 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$353−$568$921
Holders20+137
Trades120+7743
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.3%
−29.8 pp
67.1%
Avg ROI-4.2%
−4.2 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.96
+4.25×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.95
+6.23×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$41
−$141
$182
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.02
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.6%
−125.1 pp
39.5%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.1%
−72.6 pp
86.7%
Bot %13.2%
−73.5 pp
86.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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