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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

data as of 2026-03-04 01:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K−$6.2K$32K
Holders441+133308
Trades4.5K−1004.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.5%
−4.2 pp
37.7%
Avg ROI18.3%
+14.8 pp
3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.08
+49.66×
×0.42
Top-20 avg cost vs price×47.86
+47.37×
×0.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$25.5K
+$4.9K
$20.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−227.9 pp
130.3%
Underwater %90.4%
+90.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.4%
−17.1 pp
81.5%
Bot %64.4%
−17.2 pp
81.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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