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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

data as of 2026-07-03 17:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$391$17K
Holders330+8322
Trades2.8K+3482.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
+3.9 pp
47.3%
Avg ROI0.8%
−4.1 pp
4.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.38
−57.46×
×57.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.38
−55.19×
×55.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.8K
−$3.9K
$15.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL141.5%
+239.5 pp
-98.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.8 pp
95.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.3%
+1.6 pp
48.6%
Bot %56.0%
+1.2 pp
54.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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