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Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?

data as of 2026-04-02 17:35 UTC✓ on-chain◆ Even win rates🗓️ settles Nov 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
18¢
NO
82¢
YES
18¢
YesY-NNo
Position$60+$33$27
Holders6−511
Trades15−1025
NO
82¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate4.9%
+0.9 pp
4.0%
Avg ROI0.5%
−0.3 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$54
−$192
$246
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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