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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

data as of 2026-01-02 16:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$75K+$60K$15K
Holders407−10417
Trades4.4K−7335.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate77.0%
+28.7 pp
48.4%
Avg ROI3.1%
+4.7 pp
-1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.93
−0.60×
×1.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−1.13×
×1.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$34.4K
+$34.2K
$224
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.31
0.59
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.9%
+71.1 pp
-55.2%
Underwater %21.4%
−42.3 pp
63.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.9%
−7.7 pp
59.5%
Bot %50.7%
−6.2 pp
56.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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