Markets › detail

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 22?

data as of 2026-03-22 13:42 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$46K+$44K$2.7K
Holders237+93144
Trades1.9K+5101.4K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate70.7%
+18.2 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI0.3%
−2.3 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.99
−7.01×
×8.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.97
−19.33×
×20.30
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.7K
+$2.6K
$110
Recent buyer dominance0.99
−0.00
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL6.9%
+104.2 pp
-97.3%
Underwater %29.9%
−49.0 pp
78.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.7%
−8.9 pp
16.6%
Bot %7.4%
−6.7 pp
14.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse