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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 22:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.7K−$15K$22K
Holders472+150322
Trades3.1K+4112.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.2%
−3.8 pp
52.0%
Avg ROI3.0%
−0.7 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.00
+17.25×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.99
+16.31×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.4K
−$14.1K
$20.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.3%
−141.1 pp
46.8%
Underwater %95.2%
+95.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.1%
−4.3 pp
38.4%
Bot %53.8%
−7.0 pp
60.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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